Avalanche Forecast

South Rockies

Date issued

Mar 31, 2018 - 4:25 PM

Valid until

Apr 1, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mconlan

Expect to find wind slabs from recent snow that fell with strong winds. Observe for signs of instability before entering a slope, such as cracking, whumpfing, and avalanche activity.

Regular season
Saturday - March 31, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Sunday - April 1, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - April 2, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Expect wind slabs in lee and cross-loaded terrain features recent avalanche activity has surprised riders even at relatively low elevations. Observe for signs of wind effect and slab properties before committing yourself into avalanche terrain.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Keep an eye out for localized areas of deeper snow accumulation, particularly on eastern slopes.
  • Observe for signs of instability, such as cracking, whumpfing, and avalanche activity.
  • Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline where wind slabs are expected.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, a large slab avalanche was observed in a treeline-like terrain feature in a forest burn, but at below treeline elevation. The feature is convoluted and of convective-nature. It is suspected that it was triggered by a snowmobiler. Check out the MIN report just south of Crowsnest Pass for photos.  Other small wind slabs were noted in the region on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 25 cm of new snow fell at higher elevations on Friday, with associated strong westerly switching to easterly winds. The precipitation fell as rain at lower elevations, which froze into a melt-freeze crust.

About 50 cm deep, a crust is found up to 2200 metres. At a similar depth, a layer of surface hoar is found on shaded aspects at treeline in parts of the region.

The midpack is well-settled and strong. This overlies sugary facets in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Forecast

SUNDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 2 to 5 cm with possible localized higher amounts from convective flurries, light to moderate southwesterly winds, alpine temperature -8 C, freezing level 900 m.

MONDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10 to 20 cm, light northeasterly winds, alpine temperature -15 C, freezing level 600 m.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy with light snowfall, light westerly winds, alpine temperature -8 C, freezing level 800 m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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