Avalanche Forecast

South Rockies

Date issued

Mar 26, 2018 - 4:56 PM

Valid until

Mar 27, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

cgarritty

Strong winds are forecast to peak on Tuesday. Rising freezing levels are likely to make widespread new wind slabs increasingly touchy.

Regular season
Monday - March 26, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - March 27, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - March 28, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Ongoing strong southwest winds will continue to redistribute loose storm snow into wind slabs in the lee of wind-exposed terrain. Rising freezing levels mean that loose wet avalanches could become a hazard in steeper terrain at lower elevations

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution around wind-loaded areas in the alpine and at tree line.
  • Avoid large slopes with thin-to-thick snow coverage and convex features.
  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow becomes moist or wet.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from Saturday in the Castle area showed a couple of storm slabs that released to size 1.5 and 2. The smaller avalanche occurred naturally while the size 2 was explosives-triggered.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 35 cm of new snow fell over the region over the past few days. This new snow was initially redistributed by strong easterly winds before winds switched to the southwest. As a result, wind slabs are now likely to be found on a variety of aspects.

Below the wind effect, this recent snow will take some time to form a reliable bond to the old snow surface, which consist of crusts up to 2100 metres and dry snow or surface hoar on north aspects above 2100 m. Below this layer the mid-pack is is well consolidated.

Deeper in the snowpack (50-80 cm down) the surface hoar buried in mid-February is now considered dormant.

At the bottom of the snowpack you'll find a combination of crusts and facets that is reportedly widespread.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow. Strong to extreme southwest winds. Freezing level to 1800 metres after weak overnight cooling with alpine high temperatures around -3.

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Moderate northwest winds. Freezing level to 1600 metres after weak overnight cooling with alpine high temperatures around -5.

Thursday: Mainly cloudy with cloud increasing and flurries beginning in the afternoon. Light west winds. Freezing level to 1600 metres with alpine high temperatures around -4

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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