Avalanche Forecast

South Coast Inland

Date issued

Dec 9, 2017 - 3:39 PM

Valid until

Dec 10, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mconlan

Shady slopes offer the best snow, but watch out for new wind slabs that may have formed at higher elevations.

Regular season
Saturday - December 9, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Sunday - December 10, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Monday - December 11, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Increased winds from the south may have produced new wind slabs, particularly behind ridges in alpine terrain. Be cautious of firm snow when entering lee features.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid wind-loaded pockets near ridges.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed on Friday.  Numerous small loose wet avalanches (size 1) were observed on steep south and west-facing slopes on Wednesday and Thursday.  Glide avalanches were observed on steep, smooth rock slabs to size 2 around the Coquihalla on Thursday.

Snowpack Summary

Warm air temperatures and clear skies have created surface crusts on south-facing slopes at higher elevations. Moderate wind speeds from the south may have produced new localized wind slabs on northerly lee features.  Wind slabs are expected to be found in areas without surface crusts, where loose snow was available to be transported by the wind.  In shady slopes, surface hoar to 20 mm and near-surface faceting have been observed around treeline and in the alpine.  Cornices may be weakening with the warm air temperatures.  The recent snow has formed a strong bond to the late November rain crust which is now 30-50 cm deep. Treeline snow depths are approximately 1 m throughout the region.

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy, strong southwesterly winds, freezing level around 2500 m with inversion conditions.  Chance of light precipitation in the northwestern portion of the region, accumulation trace to 2 mm.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, light to moderate southwesterly winds, freezing level around 3200 m with inversion conditions.

MONDAY: Mix of sun and clouds, light to moderate southwesterly winds, freezing level around 3500 m with inversion conditions.

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and clouds, moderate southwesterly winds, freezing level around 2200 m with inversion conditions.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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