Avalanche Forecast

South Coast Inland

Date issued

Nov 26, 2017 - 4:55 PM

Valid until

Nov 27, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

cgarritty

Watch for fresh winds slabs left in lee terrain in the wake of Sunday's storm.

Regular season
Sunday - November 26, 2017
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Monday - November 27, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Tuesday - November 28, 2017
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Powerful southerly winds formed wind slabs in lee terrain at higher elevations as the storm ended on Sunday. Continued winds and light snowfall may contribute to the problem and keep slabs touchy over the near term.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use increased caution in lee areas. Recent snowfall and wind loading have created wind slabs.

Avalanche Summary

Reports from the north of the region on Sunday showed evidence of a natural avalanche cycle with widespread loose wet avalanching to Size 2 on all aspects and elevations. Natural storm slab and cornice releases to Size 2.5 were also observed in the adjacent Sea to Sky region. Please post your observations to the Mountain Information Network. (MIN)

Snowpack Summary

Another bout of rain over Saturday night soaked the upper snowpack at all elevations before depositing up to Up to 10 cm of new snow at higher elevations on Sunday morning. Significant new snow is unlikely to have accumulated in the south of the region. Below any new snow accumulations, the rain-soaked upper snowpack is likely in the process of refreezing into a strong capping crust, beginning at higher elevations. Below this developing crust interface, heavy rain from last week eroded snowpack depths significantly, leaving behind a rain-soaked and relatively uniform 90 cm at treeline elevations throughout the region.

Weather Forecast

Monday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Light to moderate southwest winds. Freezing level to 1200 metres with alpine temperatures around -6 in the north of the region, -5 in the south.

Tuesday: Flurries bringing approximately 10 cm of new snow to the north of the region, closer to 15 in the south. Moderate to strong southwest winds. Freezing level to around 1500 metres with alpine temperatures of -4 in the north of the region and -2 in the south.

Wednesday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace to 5 cm of new snow. Light southwest winds. Freezing level to 1200 metres with alpine temperatures of -5 to -3.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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