Avalanche Forecast

South Coast

Date issued

Apr 19, 2018 - 4:49 PM

Valid until

Apr 20, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

jmcbride

Spring means extra caution on south-facing slopes. Avoid exposing yourself to hazard from large slopes or cornices overhead while its sunny or warm. And watch for pockets of wind slab in high alpine terrain.

Regular season
Thursday - April 19, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Friday - April 20, 2018
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Saturday - April 21, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Cornices

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Warm temperatures and high freezing levels may weaken cornices. Give them a wide berth if traveling above or below them.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.
  • Give cornices a wide berth when traveling on ridges.
  • Avoid steep slopes below cornices.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Wet

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Warm temperatures or a bit of sun on Friday may weaken the snow surface. Loose wet avalanches on steep southerly features and near rocks may be possible. Be aware that wet slides can quickly gain mass and grow large.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid steep slopes if temperatures are warm or solar radiation is strong.
  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Summary

Earlier in the week, skiers could easily trigger small loose wet avalanches on Monday. Natural loose wet avalanches were also observed in treeline and alpine terrain, particularly on solar aspects. More details here.

Over the weekend, large slab avalanches were also observed on the North Shore mountains that may have released during the storm last Friday. Read MIN report here

Further north near Squamish reports indicated sun-induced natural activity on Sunday in alpine terrain.

With information regarding avalanche activity and snowpack conditions becoming evermore sparse this time of year, we would very much appreciate it if you spend a moment to submit any observations you have to the Mountain Information Network here, even if it is just a photo.

And we wish to thank those of you who have shared your recent observations. Thanks!

Snowpack Summary

Above about 1200 m, 30 to 60 cm of moist snow sits on a predominant crust that formed at the beginning of April. Below this the snowpack is well-settled and strong. Read more here.

At lower elevations (~1000 m) a spring snowpack exists.

Weather Forecast

TONIGHT: Increasing cloud. Ridge wind light, southwest. Temperature at treeline near +2. Freezing level 1500 m.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Ridge wind moderate, south. Temperature at treeline near +1. Freezing level 1500 m lowering to 1000 m. Rain changing to snow beginning in the evening and overnight. Precipitation 30-40 mm.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, snow ending. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind light to moderate, west. Temperature at treeline near -1. Freezing level 1200 m.

SUNDAY: Sunny. Ridge wind light, northeast. Temperature at treeline near +3. Freezing level increasing to 1800 m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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