Avalanche Forecast

South Coast

Date issued

Apr 3, 2018 - 4:17 PM

Valid until

Apr 4, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mgrist

Avalanche danger will be governed by how the new snow is sticking to the old surface below - take the time to assess this bond as you travel through the elevation bands. Give cornices a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges.

Regular season
Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - April 4, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - April 5, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The new snow will be falling on a wide variety of older surfaces. Check to see how the new now is bonding to the old snow below.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.
  • Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.

Avalanche Summary

A few wet loose natural avalanches to size 1 were reported on sunny aspects over the long weekend.

On Friday a size 1.5 slab avalanche was reported on the south face of the First (aka Pump) Peak on Mt Seymour, which is a heavily traveled slope. See here for a great photo.

Snowpack Summary

At tree line and below, we're into a spring cycle with a good re-freeze overnight (supportive crust) followed by daytime warmings to +3 and wet surface snow. New snow amounts over the past several days (10 cm or less) have been absorbed into the spring snowpack cycle.

Alpine areas around Squamish likely received about 60-100 cm of storm snow a week ago, with wind early last week. In these areas the more recent snow is possibly sitting on a mixture of weak grains including a crust on solar aspects and potentially facets/surface hoar on polar aspects.

Below the storm snow the snowpack is generally well settled and strong.

Weather Forecast

Light precipitation amounts on Wednesday with heavier snow fall (or rain) on Thursday-Friday. Freezing levels will increase slowly & steadily.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with isolated wet flurries (5cm possible) / Moderate south west wind / Alpine temperature -4 / Freezing level 900m rising to 1200m in the afternoon

THURSDAY: Wet snow (10-20cm) or rain at lower elevations / Light to moderate south-west wind / Alpine temperature -2 / Freezing level 1700m

FRIDAY: Cloudy with wet flurries or rain at lower elevations (5-10 cm possible in the morning) / Moderate south west wind / Alpine temperature -1 / Freezing level 2000m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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