Avalanche Forecast

Purcells

Date issued

Apr 3, 2018 - 4:53 PM

Valid until

Apr 4, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

cgarritty

Weak layers have been preserved within and below our recent storm snow. The depth of these layers varies throughout the region. We're still managing a winter snowpack that requires thoughtful terrain selection.

Regular season
Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - April 4, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - April 5, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

A weak layer of crust and surface hoar has been buried by a variable 20-80 cm of storm snow and has shown continued reactivity since the last storm. Manage the uncertainty around triggering this layer by sticking to lower angle, supported slopes.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution around sheltered steep or convex slopes where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Minimize exposure to steep south-facing alpine slopes, where buried crust may be preserved.
  • Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Light new snow has been redistributed by variable winds into thin wind slabs on a variety of aspects. Slabs have also been noted forming above weak layers like crust and surface hoar. Deeper slabs are likely to be found in the south of the region.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be especially careful with wind loaded pockets near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Wind slabs bay be touchier in areas where they overlie crust or surface hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Another recent storm slab release was reported from the north of the region on Sunday, with a depth of 50 cm and the late March layer from our snowpack discussion identified as its failure plane. Avalanches that release over this layer are now being labeled 'persistent slabs'.

On Saturday a skier triggered a large slab avalanche (size 2.5) on a south aspect at 2600 m. The avalanche failed on a buried sun crust 150-200 cm below the surface. Another large (size 2.5) wind slab released naturally from a steep southeast-facing alpine slope in the St. Mary's area. Explosives control in the northern half of the region produced numerous storm slabs ranging from size 1.5-2.5 at treeline and alpine elevations. Crown fractured ranged from 30-100 cm. All aspects were represented in results, with the majority of activity focused on northeast to northwest aspects in the alpine.

Reports from last week showed steady activity with several size 1-2.5 natural storm slabs and wind slabs being reported on a range of aspects each day. Storm slabs predominantly failed on the late-March interface, with crown depths from 20-50 cm deep and up to 100 cm in some areas.

Snowpack Summary

Storms over the past week brought variable snowfall totals of 20-80 cm to the region, with areas to the south of the region seeing the deepest accumulations.

This storm snow sits on a persistent weak layer buried in late March that consist of crusts below 1900 m and on south aspects, and surface hoar on shaded aspects at higher elevations.

Other slightly deeper surface hoar/facet layers have been reported on shaded aspects at higher elevations and may be found approximately 40-90 cm below the surface.

Deeper persistent weak layers from mid-late February as well as January and December layers, are still being monitored by professional observers, but are generally considered dormant. Facets also linger at the base of the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday: A mix of sun and cloud. Light west winds. Freezing level to 1500 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5.

Thursday: Mainly cloudy with light flurries beginning in the afternoon and continuing overnight. Light southeast winds. Freezing level to around 1500 metres with alpine high temperatures around -5.

Friday: Mainly cloudy. Light south winds. Freezing level to 1700 metres with alpine high temperatures around -3.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

Avalanche Forecasts in your Inbox

Avalanche Canada has switched to an RSS feed for its daily forecasts. This is a much more flexible method that allows automatic delivery to your email inbox, or to an RSS reader of your choice.

What are RSS feeds?

RSS (Really Simple Syndication) is a popular standardized file format allowing up-to-date delivery of web-based content. RSS feeds enable you to receive content updates from websites, delivered to your email through an RSS aggregator (such as blogtrottr.com) or viewed through applications called RSS readers (such as feedly.com).

Set up an RSS feed for your email:

Select a RSS aggregator

  1. Purcells URL: http://www.avalanche.ca/api/forecasts/purcells.rss
  2. Copy the url and paste it into the appropriate field of your RSS aggregator.
  3. Fill in your email address.
  4. Voila! Watch the Avalanche Canada forecast roll into your inbox.

Forecast Disclaimer

Avalanche Canada's Public Avalanche Bulletin, and other information and services provided by Avalanche Canada, are intended for personal and recreational purposes only.

**THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED "AS IS" AND IN NO EVENT SHALL THE PROVIDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY DAMAGES, INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, DAMAGES RESULTING FROM DISCOMFORT, INJURY, OR DEATH, CLAIMS BY THIRD PARTIES OR FOR OTHER SIMILAR COSTS, OR ANY SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES, ARISING OUT OF THE USE OF THE INFORMATION.**

The user acknowledges that it is impossible to accurately predict natural events such as avalanches in every instance, and uses the data in this bulletin with this always foremost in mind. The accuracy or reliability of the data is not guaranteed or warranted in any way and the Providers disclaim liability of any kind whatsoever, including, without limitation, liability for quality, performance, merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose arising out of the use, or inability to use the data.