Date issued

Nov 17, 2017 - 3:03 PM

Valid until

Nov 18, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

matt.mueller

We've had enough snow recently to increase the coverage and avalanche hazard. How the wind distributes the snow is the big question. Watch closely for windloading as the winds increase.

Regular season
Friday - November 17, 2017
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline
Saturday - November 18, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline
Sunday - November 19, 2017
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The winds started to kick in this afternoon. Slabs will build quickly with the amount of available snow. Expect them to reach further down from ridge crests than we have been used to.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today.

Snowpack Summary

10-20 cm of new snow came in yesterday and last night. While below treeline areas are improving for coverage, we are still below threshold in terms of avalanche problems. At treeline, the story changes significantly. We have two layers of interest: the "Halloween" crust and recent windslabs. The crust depth varies, but it is generally down 30-40cm from the top. The windslabs sit above the crust and vary in thickness (on average 20-40cm). Tests have had repeatable failures immediately below the crust on a layer facets. As of this afternoon, winds were increasing with windslab development ongoing.

Weather Forecast

We are expecting snow to come in for Sunday. In the meantime, westerly winds will increase to 55km tonight and tomorrow. Flurries will accompany winds, but amounts won't add up much until Sunday. Temperatures will remain steady at -10°.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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