Date issued

Apr 10, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Valid until

Apr 11, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

mark herbison

Avalanche activity will increase over the day as an intense warm and moist storm arrives midday. Little to no overnight refreeze will allow the warm temps and rain to rapidly destabilize the snowpack tree line and below.

Regular season
Tuesday - April 10, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Wednesday - April 11, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Thursday - April 12, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Loose Wet

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Expect the moist surface snow to destabilize rapidly as the temperature rises and snow/rain fall amounts increase.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.
  • Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

70-90cm of settled snow sits on the mid March crust/facet combo and fails suddenly in the mod-hard range in stability tests on solar aspects. This layer might become more active with the incoming snow/rain and rising temperatures.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous sz 2-3 avalanches yesterday and over 40 sz 2-3 avalanches on Sunday occurring in the moist storm snow.

Avalanche activity is expected to increase again today as a warm and moist weather system will arrive early this afternoon.

Artillery avalanche control is planned for this afternoon. Check DriveBC for the latest updates.

Snowpack Summary

The top 20cm of snow was moist up to 2100m yesterday and up to 3000m the day before on all aspects. Minimal overnight recovery below tree line as freezing levels remained around 0 degrees. Well-settled mid and lower snowpack with the Mar 15 crust complex down 70-90cm on solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

Cloudy today with snow and rain arriving midday as an intense, warm and moist pacific low pushes inland. The alpine will reach above zero temperatures as the freezing level rises to 2500m. Winds during the frontal passage of the storm will be 30km/hr from the south gusting to 50km/hr. Wednesday will see clearing skies, a drop in temp and wind.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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