Avalanche Forecast

Kootenay Boundary

Date issued

Apr 3, 2018 - 5:00 PM

Valid until

Apr 4, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mgrist

Be alert for the new snow going from loose and dry to forming slabs as temperatures warm. Keep a close eye on how the new snow is bonding to the old surface below, especially on sunny aspects.

Regular season
Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Wednesday - April 4, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - April 5, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Extra caution is advised where heavy snowfall sits on a firm melt-freeze crust... a perfect sliding layer for slab avalanches.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Check for how the new snow is bonding to the old surface below.
  • Watch for areas with heavy snow fall accumulations... and be prepared to dial back terrain use.
  • Be alert for dry loose sluffs: Pull over from time to time and let it go by on steeper pitches.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, natural avalanche activity was tapering, but human triggered avalanches to size 1.5 were still reported, failing on melt-freeze crusts on sunny aspects, or buried surface hoar on northerly aspects.

On Monday we received reports of widespread natural storm slab avalanches to size 1.5 on all aspects in Kootenay Pass. Crowns averaged 10-25cm thickness.

On Friday, cornice control work resulted in triggering a size 2 wind slab below, on an east aspect near 2200m. Slab depth averaged 20cm.

Snowpack Summary

Well that was quite a storm, wasn't it Nelson? The region saw wildly variable amounts of new snow on Monday morning, ranging from 2cm to 48cm near Nelson!!! Since then, only 2-4 cm of new snow has fallen, and temperatures stayed cool.

The new snow sits on firm crusts on sunny aspects, and all aspects below 1900m. On higher, shady aspects, the new snow may sit on some old wind slabs from last week, or a mix of large surface hoar and surface facets.

Another weak layer buried mid March is down 50 to 120cm and is a crust on solar aspects and surface hoar (to 6mm) on high elevation north.

A few other persistent weak layers are buried in the mid and lower snowpack, but they have gone dormant and are unlikely to resurface until we move into a period with consecutive above-freezing nights.

Weather Forecast

Only small amounts of snow on Thursday-Friday. Temperatures stay cool for this time of year.

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy with occasional flurries (up to 5 cm) / Moderate south west wind / Alpine temperature -4 / Freezing level 500m rising to 1400m in the afternoon

THURSDAY: (Wet) flurries (5-10 cm) or rain at lower elevations / Light to moderate south-west wind / Alpine temperature -3 / Freezing level 1400m

FRIDAY: Isolated flurries (5 cm possible) or rain at lower elevations / Moderate south west wind / Alpine temperature -4 / Freezing level 1300m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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