Avalanche Forecast

South Rockies

Date issued

Apr 2, 2018 - 5:08 PM

Valid until

Apr 3, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

simonhorton

Storm slab problems are most likely in southern parts of the region that received more snow. Slopes with new snow above a crust and slopes with deep wind-blown pockets are the most suspect.

Regular season
Monday - April 2, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - April 4, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Storm slabs, as well as loose snow in sheltered areas, are not bonding well to underlying surfaces and will likely remain reactive at upper elevations. Large avalanches are possible on wind-loaded slopes.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
  • Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline. Recent storm snow has formed touchy slabs.
  • Choose well supported terrain without convexities.

Avalanche Summary

Small natural avalanches (size 1) were reported in the new snow on Monday. Ski cutting produced similar small avalanches on wind-loaded features, and explosives triggered one size 2 wind slab avalanche on an east aspect at 2300 m. This avalanche ran on a 60 cm deep crust layer.

On Saturday, a large slab avalanche was observed in a burn around treeline. The avalanche was triggered by a snowmobile on a convoluted and convex terrain feature. Check out the MIN report here for more information and photos. Other wind slabs were noted in the region on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Northern parts of the region received 5-10 cm on Sunday night while up to 25 cm fell in southern parts of the region. The new snow sits above old wind slabs at higher elevations and above hard crust layers at lower elevations and on sunny aspects.

Numerous crusts are found around 60 to 80 cm deep up to 2200 m. At a similar depth, a layer of surface hoar is found on shaded aspects at treeline in parts of the region.

The midpack is well-settled and strong. This overlies sugary facets in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud with some light flurries with accumulations of 1-3 cm, moderate to strong west wind, alpine high temperatures near -8 C, freezing level up to 1000 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, moderate southwest wind, alpine high temperatures near -5 C, freezing level up to 1200 m.

THURSDAY: Light flurries with 2-5 cm, moderate southwest wind, alpine high temperatures near -12 C, freezing level at valley bottom.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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