Avalanche Forecast

Northwest Inland

Date issued

Apr 2, 2018 - 4:12 PM

Valid until

Apr 3, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

simonhorton

New snow and wind may form reactive storm slabs on Tuesday. Watch for signs of increasing danger such as cracking, whumpfing, or avalanche activity.

Regular season
Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Wednesday - April 4, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - April 5, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Some areas may get enough snow to form fresh slabs, especially on wind-loaded slopes. Older storm slabs from last week are still a concern as the snow is not bonding well to layers of surface hoar, crusts, or sugary facets.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.
  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
  • Choose well supported terrain without convexities.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity on Sunday was limited to a few small loose avalanches on steep sun-exposed slopes.

On Saturday, a large persistent slab avalanche was reported in the north of the region, failing on the early-March weak layer. It failed on an easterly aspect around treeline. Portions of the avalanche stepped down to sugary facets near the bottom of the snowpack.

Otherwise, there was further evidence of a large natural cycle that occurred on Friday within the recent storm snow, with storm slab and loose dry avalanches. They were small to large (size 1 to 2.5), on all aspects and elevations.

Snowpack Summary

5-15 cm of new snow is expected on Tuesday. The new snow will sit above a sun crust on southerly aspects from the weekend's clear skies.

A reactive slab about 50 cm thick has developed after last week's storm. On shaded aspects at high elevations, this slab overlies two layers of weak surface hoar. On all aspects below treeline, the slab sits on a melt-freeze crust. The storm snow may still be loose in sheltered and shady locations.

Near the bottom of the snowpack, weak and sugary facets are found in shallow, rocky snowpack areas. Storm slabs have stepped down to these facets recently, producing very large avalanches.

Weather Forecast

TUESDAY: Scattered flurries with 5-15 cm of new snow, moderate south wind, alpine high temperatures near -10 C, freezing level up to 400 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy and light snowfall with accumulations of 1-3 cm, light south wind, alpine high temperatures near -9 C, freezing level up to 500 m.

THURSDAY: Light flurries with trace accumulations, light to moderate south wind, alpine high temperatures near -10 C, freezing level up to 400 m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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