Avalanche Forecast

South Rockies

Date issued

Apr 1, 2018 - 3:56 PM

Valid until

Apr 2, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mconlan

Substantial snowfall could accumulate by Monday morning. Treat the hazard as higher if you find more than 30 cm of new snow. Storm slab avalanches are likely -- conservative decision-making is recommended.

Regular season
Sunday - April 1, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - April 2, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Tuesday - April 3, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Expect to find storm slabs where substantial snowfall accumulates. Loose snow may be found in sheltered areas. Be disciplined: observe for slab properties and the bond with the old snow surface before committing into avalanche terrain.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution in lee areas in the alpine and treeline where wind slabs are expected.
  • Observe for signs of instability, such as cracking, whumpfing, and avalanche activity.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, a large slab avalanche was observed around treeline in a forest burn. The feature is convoluted and of convective-nature. It is suspected that it was triggered by a snowmobiler. Check out the MIN report here for more information. Other wind slabs were noted in the region on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Around 10 to 20 cm of new snowfall is expected in the region. The new snow will fall on wind slabs at higher elevations and a melt-freeze crust on sunny aspects and all aspects at low elevations.

Numerous crusts are found around 60 to 80 cm deep up to 2200 m. At a similar depth, a layer of surface hoar is found on shaded aspects at treeline in parts of the region.

The midpack is well-settled and strong. This overlies sugary facets in thin snowpack areas.

Weather Forecast

MONDAY: Cloudy with snowfall, accumulation 10 to 20 cm and possible localized higher amounts from convective flurries, light northeasterly winds, alpine temperature -15 C, freezing level below valley bottom.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light westerly winds, alpine temperature -9 C, freezing level 800 m.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy, light southwesterly winds, alpine temperature -7 C, freezing level 1300 m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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