Avalanche Forecast

Northwest Inland

Date issued

Mar 30, 2018 - 4:30 PM

Valid until

Mar 31, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mconlan

New and old storm slabs aren't bonding well to underlying layers. Be cautious on southerly aspects when the sun is out. Conservative decision-making is recommended.

Regular season
Saturday - March 31, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Sunday - April 1, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - April 2, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

New storm slabs exist in the south of the region and older slabs exist in the north.  Very large avalanches have occurred, as the slabs are not bonding well to underlying layers of surface hoar, crusts, or sugary facets in thin snowpack areas.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where small avalanches may have severe consequences.
  • Observe for signs of instability, such as cracking, whumpfing, and avalanche activity.
  • Approach lee and cross-loaded slopes with caution.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday, small (size 1.5) storm and wind slabs were remotely triggered by skiers at all elevation bands, 30 to 40 cm deep, on north to westerly aspects. A large (size 2.5) deep persistent slab was also remotely triggered in a shallow, rocky, alpine snowpack area, with a depth of about 50 cm.

Evidence of a widespread avalanche cycle was observed on Wednesday. Large to very large (size 3 to 3.5) storm slabs were observed, often in southeast, east, and northeast slopes. Some of these stepped down to weak and sugary facets at the bottom of the snowpack.

Snowpack Summary

Thursdays storm brought up to 35 cm of snow to the southern parts of the region, such as around Smithers. This overlies last weekends storm snow, which has settled into a reactive slab and is not bonding well to old snow surfaces that are about 50 cm deep. These include two layers of surface hoar, which exist on shaded aspects at high elevations as well as a melt-freeze crust on all aspects at treeline and below treeline elevations.

Deeper in the snowpack, layers of crusts, facets, and isolated surface hoar buried about 100 cm exist from mid- and late-February and a surface hoar/crust layer from January is buried around 150 to 200 cm. Near the bottom of the snowpack, weak and sugary facets exist, particularly in steep, rocky, and shallow snowpack areas. Shallower storm slabs have stepped down to these facets recently, producing very large avalanches.

Weather Forecast

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny, light southwesterly winds, alpine temperature -10 C, freezing level 600 m.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with early morning snowfall then partly cloudy, accumulation 2 to 5 cm, light northeasterly winds, alpine temperature -10 C, freezing level 600 m.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy with afternoon snowfall, light southerly winds, alpine temperature -9, freezing level 500 m.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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