Date issued

Mar 29, 2018 - 3:06 PM

Valid until

Mar 30, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

matt.mueller

It's a tricky time right now. Loose dry, cornices, wind slabs and persistent slab avalanche problems all exist. Keep the eyes open and the brain tuned in.

Regular season
Friday - March 30, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Saturday - March 31, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Sunday - April 1, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Lots of windslabs out there right now. Crossloaded and unsupported terrain should be treated with respect.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid steep lee and cross-loaded slopes
  • Evaluate unsupported slopes critically.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This layer appears to be the culprit for several avalanches in high treeline/low alpine terrain this week. Probing and digging will help locate it and assess how reactive it is.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid steep Southerly aspects.

Avalanche Problem 3: Cornices

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The flight today revealed enough cornice triggered avalanches to consider them a problem. Avoid being under them as they could trigger slabs below and travel far.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid steep slopes below cornices.

Avalanche Summary

Several older(early this week) slabs were noted. Many were thin alpine windslabs, cornice triggered and averaged size 2. East aspects were also a theme.

Snowpack Summary

A flight through the region today gave us a good look around. Most alpine areas have widespread wind slabs of various densities, but the tighter, sheltered drainages are still holding decent snow below ridgeline. Treeline has less wind affect overall with soft snow on sheltered north aspects. The aspect begins to play a role at this elevation. The Mar 15 crust is widespread on any solar aspect. It is down 20-40cm and so far has a decent bond to the surface layers. Intense sun today will likely form another thin surface crust on south aspects. Overall, the snowpack is reasonably solid, but still a ways from our usual spring like snowpack typical of late march.

Weather Forecast

Flurries will start tonight and give about 4cm . Alpine temps will be -9 with 45km/hr winds. Tomorrow the flurries will continue and drop another 10cm. Overall winds will drop to 15km/hr but gusts will continue to reach 45km/hr. Alpine temps will hit -7C.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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