Date issued

Feb 16, 2018 - 3:00 PM

Valid until

Feb 17, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mike.koppang

Dont be in big terrain that hasnt previously avalanched. Sheltered areas have good skiing but we need some snow for a good re-set.

Regular season
Saturday - February 17, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Sunday - February 18, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - February 19, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The upper snowpack has several windslabs piled on top of each other.  These slabs are up to 50cm thick in alpine terrain.  Watch for failures in these slabs to step down to the deeper layers.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The surface hoar is still intact in many treeline areas. It's depth varies, but a meter down is a good generalization. We are still treating this layer with caution and respect. Surface hoar is known for unexpected surprises. 

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.
  • Be wary of slopes that did not previously avalanche.
  • Minimize exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach run out zones.

Avalanche Summary

Its hard to tell whats new and older as strong winds are filling in the fracture lines quickly.  Of note, the Tryst Gully (commonly used after leaving tryst) has recently slid sz 2.5 with debris 2-4m deep in places.  Some people had been using this gully as an approach earlier this winter and this avalanche is a sobering reminder of how much of a terrain trap this piece of terrain is.  Just because you have (or someone else has) gone one way before, doesn't mean its safe. 

Snowpack Summary

Light flurries throughout the day and overnight but only close to 5cm of accumulations.  Moderate westerly winds continued building on the windslabs that previously existed.  Alpine areas have extensive windslabs from the strong winds earlier in the week.  Its not uncommon to find a drummy feeling as you approach more open terrain.  At treeline the windslabs are more specific in nature such as along ridgelines and in gullies.  A few prominent weak layers still exist at the base of the snowpack.  The Dec 15th interface down 140cm and the January surface hoar layers down 100cm.  Test resulst are still in the hard rnage on these layers but they are highly variable.  Use caution in any areas that have not previously slid and minimize your exposure to overhead terrain.

Weather Forecast

Forecasts are calling for 5-10cm of new snow over the next 24hrs with generally light NW winds.  Temperatures will be cool on Saturday and then FRIGID on Sunday!  Dress warm!

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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