Date issued

Feb 9, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Valid until

Feb 10, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

andrew jones

Although the storm is over, large natural avalanches are still running as of this morning. Expect natural avalanche activity to continue as the sun makes its debut.

Regular season
Friday - February 9, 2018
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Saturday - February 10, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Sunday - February 11, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The last storm brought over 60cm of new snow in 48hrs. Storm slabs remain touchy and are still resulting in large natural avalanches, as recently as 0700 this morning. Expect the "first kiss of the sun" to trigger more storm slab avalanches.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Several deeply buried persistent weak layers are primed for natural and skier triggering with the new storm load. These slides have the potential to reach the full extent of their run-out zones. Mature timber may not be a default safe spot today.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous natural and artillery controlled avalanches up to size 4.0 during the avalanche cycle that accompanied yesterday's storm. Several ran full extent, taking out mature trees. A large natural avalanche, size 3.5, was observed running to the valley bottom this morning in the HWY corridor. Natural activity has not yet subsided.

Snowpack Summary

Approximately 60cm of new snow in the past 36hrs is settling into a widespread storm slab. Storm slabs will be deeper and more reactive in wind affected areas. Dec and Jan persistent weak layers are now buried 150-200cm in the snowpack. Height of snow is 350cm at 1900m. 

Weather Forecast

The storm is over.  Expect mostly sun today with cloudy periods. Alpine temperatures around -13.0, light ridge winds and freezing levels remaining at valley bottom.  High pressure with nil precipitation continues through the weekend. Weather models show a pulse of moderate precipitation arriving Tuesday night, bringing up to 20cm of snow.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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