Date issued

Jan 7, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Jan 8, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

conrad janzen

With steady light snow over the next few days the hazard will rise very gradually. Stay alert to these changes, watch for clues like sluffing, and continually monitor the reactivity of the surface snow over the buried facets and surface hoar.

Regular season
Monday - January 8, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - January 9, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - January 10, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Recent snow is being moved around by the SW winds and forming thin wind slabs in immediate lee areas. These slabs can fail on the either the weak facets or the Dec 15 layer, and have been triggered by climbers and skiers in the last few days.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Loose dry surface snow avalanches will continue to be a problem in steep rocky areas and gullies until the facets round out and begin to bond better.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • The volume of sluffing could knock you over; choose your climb carefully and belay when exposed.
  • On steep slopes, pull over periodically or cut into a new line to manage sluffing.

Avalanche Summary

A small skier triggered loose dry avalanche at treeline, and some thin small wind slabs in the alpine were reported on Sunday by the local ski areas. There have also been several small skier accidental avalanches involving thin wind slabs in the alpine during the past several days and reports of the December 15 layer slowly becoming more reactive.

Snowpack Summary

15-40 cm of snow now sits over the Dec 15 layer of surface hoar or sun crust, and is beginning to develop soft slab properties with the warmer temperatures and wind. Below this the snowpack is heavily faceted with remnants of older crust's still lingering throughout. In steep gullies, loose faceted surface snow continues to be a significant concern

Weather Forecast

The forecast is for cloudy skies with small amounts of snow, light to moderate West winds, and temperatures fairly steady in the -5 to -10'C range for the next three days. Total accumulations may reach 15-20cm in Western areas, but we will likely only see 5-10cm in the Eastern parts of our forecast region.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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