Date issued

Dec 30, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Dec 31, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

Tim Haggarty

Up to 10cm of storm snow has fallen over the last two blustery days and an alpine temperature inversion is expected for Sunday heralding the first signs of relief from the Christmas polar spell. Looks good for the New Year!

Regular season
Sunday - December 31, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Monday - January 1, 2018
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - January 2, 2018
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Isolated pockets of hardslab found in the typical areas of the Alpine like ridge tops, exposed features, or ledges above ice climbs. These may have been buried by  up to 10 cm and will be a bit harder to detect.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.
  • Use caution above ledges and cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Summary

Areas south of Highway 11  in BNP have seen some recent avalanche activity: most notably loose dry avalanches running far in steep terrain as a result of near surface faceting, but a few skier triggered windslabs have been reported as well. These areas have seen considerably more snow over the Dec 18 interface than the JNP forecast area.

Snowpack Summary

8cm of storm snow now buries isolated pockets of wind slab in ALP areas sitting on an old snow interface of facets, sun crust, wind effect, or surface hoar. 3 crusts extend into the lower limits of the alpine and are sitting dormant in the snowpack, the upper crust is providing mid-pack strength over a weaker, rotted crust and facet crystals

Weather Forecast

An Alpine Temperature inversion has begun to build Saturday as the Jet Stream brings warm air to over-ride the arctic air now established over the area. A spike in the West winds into Monday will help clear out the cold air for good with warm temperatures forecast for next week. Skies will remain clear and winds generally light for the period.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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