Date issued

Dec 27, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Dec 28, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

grant statham

The cold snap continues - although today was an improvement to -15 in some areas! The snowpack is generally quite stable owing to the cold air, and if you can manage the temperatures, the avalanche conditions are favorable. Dress as warm as you can!

Regular season
Thursday - December 28, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Friday - December 29, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Saturday - December 30, 2017
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Reports of small windslabs continue to come from the ski resorts teams - isolated to near rocky areas. These have been small but running a fair way down the path.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

The cold temperatures are facetting the surface snow and allowing loose dry avalanches to run further than expected in steep terrain. Manage your sluffs if skiing steep terrain and heads up for big spindrift if climbing in gullies.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control at Sunshine Village resulted in thin windslabs near rocks and cliffs, but running far down the path because of the unconsolidated facets.

Snowpack Summary

The upper snow-pack is facetting with the cold temperatures and starting to sluff easily in steep terrain. Some thin, hard wind slabs observed in lee areas in the alpine. The Dec.15 layer of surface hoar (below 2100m) and hard surfaces or facets (depending on location) is down 15-30 cm. Some moderate shears have been observed around this interface.

Weather Forecast

A few more days of cold air, but hang in there as change is on the way. Light snow on Thursday with temperatures ranging from -20 to -25 (hope for -15 mid day, in the sun). Winds at ridge crests will remain moderate from the NW. Temperatures will start to moderate over the weekend, and by 2018 we should see temperatures get warmer than -10,

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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