Date issued

Nov 25, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Nov 26, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

tim haggarty

Another storm will reach the area Sunday afternoon. Caution is recommended at treeline and above as this new load tests the persistent weak layer.

Regular season
Sunday - November 26, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Monday - November 27, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - November 28, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

While the snow became soaked at lower elevations and has a thick refrozen surface crust, the new crust gets thin above 2400m and it is uncertain whether the deeper Halloween crust will continue to be reactive. A conservative approach is recommended.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Given the amount of snow and wind that the alpine has seen in the last several days, a few reactive windslabs can likely still be found. Expect the incoming storm to create touchy new slabs as it passes.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Avalanche Summary

Although natural avalanche activity has slowed with more settled weather in the last few days a few have been reported on the crust and facets at around the 2500m range to sz 2.5. A significant cornice failure was also reported by Sunshine Village. Explosive control continues to produce results on the facets /crust as well as a few wind slabs.

Snowpack Summary

In the Alpine there has been significant amounts of both snow and wind in the last two weeks. Significant amounts of Precip came as rain below about 2500m on Thursday creating a new crust that has 5 to 10 cm over it. The main concern in the snowpack remains the weak facets associated with the Halloween crust in the mid to lower snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Another system is forecast to arrive Sunday afternoon. The pattern of this storm will be much the same as the last however freezing levels look to be much lower at around 2000m. We expect up to 20mm to arrive with moderate SW winds as first the warm front passes followed by a cold front at around 9 pm. Further precip is expected through Tuesday.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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