Date issued

Nov 21, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Nov 22, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

grant statham

The first major avalanche cycle of the season starts on Wed and peaks on Thurs. Avoid all avalanche terrain. There is a significant weak layer deep in the snowpack that is active and we expect widespread avalanche activity over the next two days.

Regular season
Wednesday - November 22, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Thursday - November 23, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Friday - November 24, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This is an active avalanche problem and is the main reason people should avoid all avalanche terrain for Wednesday and Thursday. The problem exists in most terrain and will become overloaded with the incoming storm. Watch overhead hazard.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Winds up to 100 km/hr are forecast for Wed and Thurs which will load the new snow onto leeward aspects. Windslabs should be expected near all ridges and gully areas and can be expected to become large once triggered.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Avalanche Problem 3: Loose Wet

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Warm temperatures and rain at low elevations will produce wet avalanches in gullies below treeline. Ice climbers in particular should avoid gully climbs on Wed and Thurs.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity observed or reported Tues in the Little Yoho valley, Lake Louise resort or Sunshine Village area. Mon saw significant avalanche activity with Lake Louise ski resort reporting 32 avalanches releasing from 38 target areas controlled; several large avalanches up to size 2.5 - this shows the potential of the Halloween crust.

Snowpack Summary

The Little Yoho valley has a 100cm snowpack at 1750m. The top 60cm is dry, settled storm snow overlying facets on the Halloween crust - this is the layer to watch. Snowpack tests indicate sudden collapse failures on this layer and propagation can be expected. Strong winds with this next storm will create windslabs in exposed areas at TL and above.

Weather Forecast

A strong westerly flow dominates the region with the Pineapple Express bringing a big warm up and rain for Wed and Thurs. Expect 20cm of fresh snow by Wed afternoon and warming through the day - by Wed night freezing levels will reach 2600m and Thurs will be a heavy storm day with rain, snow, warmth and strong winds. Cooling beings late Thurs.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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