Date issued

Nov 20, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Nov 21, 2017 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

ian jackson

A brief reprieve from storm systems, but the next one on Wednesday looks warm. Enjoy the good snow for one more day, but be careful as the Halloween crust/ facet layer is spooky!

Regular season
Tuesday - November 21, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Wednesday - November 22, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Thursday - November 23, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

30 - 60 cms of snow from the last storm has settled into a slab that overlies the Halloween crust/ facet interface. A natural avalanche cycle occurred on this layer on Sunday and Monday with avalanches to size 3, mostly starting in the low alpine.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use conservative route selection, choose moderate angled and supported terrain with low consequence.
  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Strong SW winds on Sunday created windslabs up to 1 meter thick in exposed alpine areas. If triggered, these will likely step down to the Halloween crust/ facet layer, creating a much larger avalanche.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Avalanche Summary

Lots of avalanche activity on Monday. Some examples:

-Widespread natural activity up to size 2.5 on the National Geographics and Whitehorn gullies in the Lake Louise ski hill and backcountry

-A size 3 on a NE aspect of Pilot mountain with a ~ 500m fracture line.

Many of the avalanches initiated in the low alpine where the halloween crust exists

Snowpack Summary

30 - 70 cms of new snow over the last 5 days has been blown into windslabs up to 1 meter deep in the alpine. Where windslabs don't exist, this snow has formed a 30-60 cm slab that sits on the Halloween crust/facet interface. This interface is a crust below ~ 2400m on polar aspects and higher on solar aspects. Total snowpack at treeline is 80-100 cm

Weather Forecast

Tuesday is a rest between storms with light winds, cool temps and precip starting in the afternoon (10 cm overnight). Wednesday is looking to be quite warm with freezing levels rising to ~ 2500m and rain at lower elevations.  Temps will cool on Thursday with freezing levels dropping to ~ 2000m and 20- 30 cm of snow.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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