Avalanche Forecast
Lizard Range and Flathead
The general trend is for gradually rising freezing levels and clearing skies. In the meantime pay attention to the bond of the recent new snow to the old snow surface.
Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs
What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?
Travel and Terrain Advice
- Watch for signs of instability such as whumphing, cracking, or recent natural avalanches.
- Use caution when transitioning into wind affected terrain.
- Extra caution needed around cornices with current conditions.
Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Wet
What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?
When the sun comes out it will quickly weaken the new snow and cause loose wet avalanching on steep solar slopes.
Travel and Terrain Advice
- Minimize exposure to sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong.
- Watch for signs that the snow is heating up such as pin-wheeling or the surface snow becoming moist.
Avalanche Summary
Several loose wet avalanches up to size 2.5 which were triggered by cornice falls were reported near Fernie on Sunday.
Snowpack Summary
15-25 cm of new snow and moderate winds have formed storm slabs reactive to human triggers. This storm snow overlies numerous crusts in the upper 100 cm of the snowpack.
The mid-pack is generally well settled and strong.
A layer of sugary facets around a crust can be found near the bottom of the snowpack which has been dormant for some time. Large triggers, such as a falling cornice, or a major warm-up to the snowpack could trigger this layer.
Weather Forecast
TUESDAY: Flurries, accumulation 5-10cm. Moderate southwest wind. Alpine temperature -1. Freezing level 1500 m.
WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate south wind. Alpine temperature 3. Freezing level 1600 m.
THURSDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Light southeast wind. Alpine temperature 0. Freezing level 2100 m.
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Snow and wind on Monday will create touchy storm slabs reactive to human triggers.