This is a good time to be conservative in your terrain choices and minimize exposure to avalanche terrain. The chances of human triggered avalanches will increase as temperatures rise.
Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs




- Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.
- Avoid open slopes and convex rolls at treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs




Watch for the changing feel of the snow under your feet and be wary of areas with denser surface snow over weaker snow.
- If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
- Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.
Avalanche Summary
Snowballing observed around rock features on steep solar aspects Sunday afternoon. No new avalanche activity observed. A field team Saturday traveling up Mt Field noticed lots of whumphing and cracking in open glades at treeline, this activity was failing on the Dec.15 persistent weak layer.
Snowpack Summary
Warm alpine temperatures have moisten the upper snowpack on steep solar aspects. There is 40-65 cm over the Dec.15 persistent weak layer of surface hoar at treeline. This is becoming reactive to skiers and producing easy to moderate test results as shown in this video from Mt Field. Below this is a faceted but generally supportive snow pack.
Weather Forecast
A temperature inversion will continue through the forecast region, with alpine temperatures above freezing through Monday into Tuesday. Skies will remain relatively clear and winds light. Expect unusually strong solar outputs for this time of the year on South and West aspects Monday and Tuesday afternoon.
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There is a widespread weak layer of surface hoar from Dec 15th down 40-60 cm with a stiff enough slab over it to start producing avalanches. Be very careful and travel conservatively even if you observe no avalanches.