Date issued

Feb 27, 2018 - 3:00 PM

Valid until

Feb 28, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

jeremy.mackenzie

Look to sheltered areas for good skiing. Forecasters continue to approach large Alpine terrain with some caution.

Regular season
Wednesday - February 28, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - March 1, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Friday - March 2, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Wind slabs continue to dominate the Alpine and Treeline elevation bands. Human-triggering is more likely in shallow snowpack areas and where thin wind slabs have formed at ridgecrest.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Evaluate unsupported slopes critically.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Deep Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Large triggers are a concern. It's safe to say we're in the "low probability/high consequence" situation. Avoid thin areas.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.

Avalanche Problem 3: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Weak surface facets from the prolonged cold period are found in sheltered northerly aspects at lower elevations. In steep terrain it is possible to trigger small sluffs that could have consequences in terrain traps or above cliffs.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be cautious of sluffing in steep terrain, particularly where the debris flows into terrain traps.
  • Avoid travelling on ledges and cliffs where sluffing may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Summary

An extensive flight through the region today revealed no new avalanche activity.

Snowpack Summary

5 to 8cm of new snow in the past 24hrs at Treeline. Widespread wind effect in Alpine and Treeline areas, with highly variable wind directions. Surface snow has been facetting on sheltered northerly aspects Below Treeline, and has been reactive to ski cutting in steep terrain in recent days. Several snow profiles today across the region indicate a well settled and dense midpack. The persistent weak layers from Jan 18, Jan 6 and Dec 15 are still evident in the snowpack but there were no test results from compression tests on these layers today.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will bring a mix of sun and cloud and no new snow. Alpine temperatures should reach a high of -12 °C with winds from the SW at 25 km/h. Thursday and Friday could see some light flurries with accumulations between 5 and 10 cm.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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