Date issued

Feb 9, 2018 - 3:00 PM

Valid until

Feb 10, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

mike.koppang

This weekend limit your exposure to avalanche terrain.  Recent snow has overloaded the snowpack triggering large avalanches.  Special Public Avalanche warning is in effectClick Here

Regular season
Saturday - February 10, 2018
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Sunday - February 11, 2018
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - February 12, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Found at treeline and above up to 50cm thick. They are being found on all aspects due to reverse loading patterns of recent winds.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • If triggered the storm/wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.
  • Select routes that do not travel in or under avalanche terrain.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Widepsread avalanche activity observed recently stepping down to the persistent deep layers such as Jan 6th Surface hoar and the Dec 15th Facet surface hoar interface. 

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Avalanche Problem 3: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Watch for these problems at treeline and below where the recent snow has settled into a reactive slab. 

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Select routes that do not travel in or under avalanche terrain.
  • If triggered the storm slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Summary

This was our first good day to look around and we saw widespread avalanche activity up to sz 3.5 on all aspects and at all elevations.  When the sun did come out, solar aspects became more reactive and natural avalanche activity was observed later in the day in these areas.  A popular run know as "Purple Bowl"  what we call the Dog Leg Slide path released size 3 taking out all previous tracks and running full path to its historic run outs.  Many fracture lines at treeline were also observed down 1m likely failing on the Jan 6th SH layers. 

Snowpack Summary

Solar radiation played a big role on friday as the sun is beginning to have enough punch to begin to make the snow moist on steep solar aspects later in the day.  The solar input triggerred rapid settlement and avalanche activity up to sz 3 on solar aspects.  We are still dealing with a complex, reactive snowpack at this time.  Wind slabs in the upper snowpack as well as the deep persistent problems are our major concerns at this time.  The recent snow is overloading the myriad of weak layers that we currently have within the snowpack and causing widespread large destructive avalanches.  Many of the weak layers are 100-150cm deep so evaluating them in field tests is challenging.  This weekend will be a good time to stay out of avalanche terrain and minimize your exposure to overhead hazards. 

Weather Forecast

No new snow is expected over the next 24hrs but we are expecting the winds to increase out of the NW into the moderate range.  Temperatures will be a bit more seasonal with -12c.  Already solar radiation is starting to play a role in terms of stability. Avoid being under steep solar aspects as conditions warm up.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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