Date issued

Jan 22, 2018 - 3:24 PM

Valid until

Jan 23, 2018 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

jeremy.mackenzie

A few large avalanches have occurred in the past 24hrs. Dangerous avalanche conditions exist at upper elevations.

Regular season
Monday - January 22, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - January 23, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - January 24, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Wind slabs are everywhere in the Alpine and open areas at Treeline, except on windward aspects. Avalanche activity increased today in steep lee and cross-loaded terrain.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.
  • Avoid steep lee and cross-loaded slopes
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Forecasters are tracking 3 buried layers of concern (click on "Details" for more), which are highly variable in their distribution. Avalanche activity observed today initiated in the upper snowpack and then steeped down to the persistent slabs.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid convex rolls at and below treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity has increased in the past 24 hours. A size 3.0 naturally triggered slab avalanche occurred in the past 24 hours on a steep north aspect in the Alpine. This avalanche is expected to have run on the Dec 15th interface, and the slide ran full path. In addition, a couple of size 2.0 slab avalanches occurred on steep East aspects at Treeline. These slabs appeared to initiate on the Jan 6th interface and then step down to the Dec 15th interface with fracture depths up to 80cm.

Snowpack Summary

Several days of very strong winds has led to widespread wind slab conditions in the Alpine and open areas at Treeline. These are found on all aspects except west, where the winds have stripped the windward slopes down to bare rock. At 2250m and below there are now 3 layers of buried surface hoar. These are referred to as the Jan 18th, Jan 6th and Dec 15th surface hoar layers, down 25, 50 and 100cm respectively. Recent snowpack stability tests indicate that all these layers are reactive, with the Jan 6th and Dec 15th layers the most concerning as there is now sufficient overlying slab to be an avalanche problem. The November and October crusts deeper in the snowpack are being tracked but remain inactive at the moment.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will be cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Alpine temperature will be near -9 °C. Winds remain strong out of the SW. Wednesday may bring a few cm's of new snow.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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