Error message

Date issued

Nov 24, 2017 - 3:06 PM

Valid until

Nov 25, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

KESAdmin

Cooler temps are tightening up the snowpack but it will still take a bit of time to settle.  Another storm is forecast to cross the region on Sunday/Monday.

Regular season
Friday - November 24, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Saturday - November 25, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Sunday - November 26, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Recent avalanche activity has occurred on the halloween layer down 30-60cm.  Dig down and check this interface.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Watch for areas of hard wind slab in steep alpine features.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets. Be aware of wide variation in snowpack depth
  • Be aware of the potential for wide propagations.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

New windslabs building in Alpine areas and isolated areas at treeline as a result of strong westerly winds.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Avalanche Summary

A few recent avalanches up to sz 2.5 were observed initiating in Alpine areas on N and E aspects.  These slides started as dry windslabs, then ran down into the rain soaked snow and ran to the top of their normal runouts.  The majority of avalanches observed were 30-40cm thick, 60-100m wide and ran 200-300m. 

Snowpack Summary

Cooler temperatures moved in overnight and we finally saw the rain begin to turn to snow.  Below 2200m the snowpack was rain soaked, lost lots of mass but it now beginning to re-freeze.  Above this elevation the top 5-20cm of the snowpack was moist and isothermal.  So far it seems as if 2600m was a high as the rain fell and it was snow above.  So, we now have what is being called the November rain crust buried down 10-15cm up to 2600m.  Above this elevation the new snow and winds have combined to build new windslabs in open areas.  These new windslabs will be reactive to a skiers weight so avoid steeper areas until the snowpack has some time to settle and strengthen. 

Weather Forecast

Saturday should be a carbon copy of friday in terms of weather.  Mainly cloudy, moderate westerly winds and light flurries with only minor accumulations.  On Sunday another storm is forecast to hit the region.  At this time precipitation amounts are close to 25cm with strong winds and again warm temperatures.  We can expect the avalanche danger to increase if the forecast holds true.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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