Date issued

Nov 20, 2017 - 3:36 PM

Valid until

Nov 21, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

jeremy.mackenzie

Recent strong winds with lots of new snow has heightened the avalanche hazard. This is a good time to avoid avalanche terrain.

Regular season
Monday - November 20, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - November 21, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Wednesday - November 22, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Wind slabs are found on lee and cross-loaded features. Further slab development will occur through the night due to an intense storm that is moving through.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Avalanche Summary

Naturally triggered slab avalanche activity up to size 2.5 has occurred in the past 24 hours. Most of these slides occurred on N and E aspects in alpine terrain, but in some areas the slides have run to the end of their run-outs at lower elevations. Loose dry avalanches up to size 2.0 have also been observed in steep Alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

An average of 30cm of new snow fell overnight at Treeline overnight. This snowfall was coupled with strong to extreme SW winds which has led to widespread wind slab formation in lee and cross-loaded features at Treeline and Alpine elevations. Most windward aspects have been stripped down to bare rock. Natural avalanche activity is ongoing (see avalanche activity discussion below) and conditions are ripe for human-triggering. The Halloween crust is now buried up to 80cm at 2400m and has shown signs of facetting. Recent snowpack tests show a failure immediately underneath the crust, that will be something to watch in the weeks to come.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday will be snowy with accumulations near 8cm. Winds will continue to be strong from the SW. Temperatures are expected to be mild for a couple of days with a high of -1 C tomorrow and then freezing levels rising to 2600m on Wednesday with rain/snow in the forecast.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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