Date issued

Nov 18, 2017 - 4:26 PM

Valid until

Nov 19, 2017 - 2:00 PM

Prepared by

matt.mueller

The wind is changing the snowpack drastically. Watch for new windslabs where there is still snow. Conservative terrain is a good idea while we wait for the snow to stabilize. See avalanche discussion for recent avalanche activity.

Regular season
Saturday - November 18, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline
Sunday - November 19, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline
Monday - November 20, 2017
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

There has been heavy wind loading in most alpine areas. Expect dense windslabs in any area that has managed to hold snow. These are easy to trigger and will run far. Treeline has a similar issue, but the slabs will be less dense.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
  • Avoid freshly wind loaded features.

Avalanche Summary

There were 2 observations today, with one of them being a serious involvement with a party ascending a slope. Details:

1)No involvement: Sz 2, S asp, a heavily crossloaded alpine feature that ran quite far. Unsure of trigger, but suspect natural

1) Involvement: While boot packing, a party triggered a sz 2,  steep gully feature. SW aspect, approx 2650m alpine feature. The failure plain was within the many windslab layers.

Snowpack Summary

Wind! We haven't had any new snow, but we have had plenty of wind blowing existing snow around. Treeline and alpine areas now  have widespread wind slabs on all easterly aspects. Given the gusty nature of the wind, expect "laminated" or layered wind slabs with no distinct or predictable failure plain. These short term instabilities will stabilize eventually, but for now they should at the front of your mind. Alpine gullies are especially concerning right now. The halloween crust is still lurking below. The burial depths may will vary with this ongoing wind event .

Weather Forecast

Periods of snow starting around noon. 13 cm expected. The winds will continue to howl with SW ridgetop winds over 60km/hr. Daytime highs will be -8, but expect it to feel much colder with the wind. More snow is expected early next week as well as continued high winds.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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