Date issued

Feb 26, 2018 - 4:30 PM

Valid until

Feb 27, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

tim haggarty

A few cm of snow over the next few days will give the winds something to transport for the first time in a while.  A conservative approach to terrain selection remains important with the existing weak snowpack structure.

Regular season
Monday - February 26, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - February 27, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - February 28, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

A 50 to 80cm thick slab, sits over sun Crusts (south and west aspects), Surface Hoar (at, and just above treeline) and weak Faceted Crystals (very developed in shallow snowpack features).  Faceting has reduced slab strength in shallow and BTL areas.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Use conservative route selection, stick to supported terrain features, avoid overhead hazards.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Expect hardslabs in the alpine and a few softer slabs at treeline. The cold has kept these in check and helped them settle over the last few days but some caution is still warranted especially as new snow and winds arrive over the next few days.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • The best powder will be found in sheltered locations at or below treeline.
  • If triggered the wind slabs may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Avalanche Summary

Helicopter patrol down highway 93 Sunday night noticed only a few recent windslabs in the alpine. There has been limited activity over that last two weeks following the extensive avalanche cycle on February 8-9 yet it is still prudent to treat slopes that did not avalanche during this cycle with a great deal of respect.

Snowpack Summary

Old wind slabs and extensive wind effect found in open areas. The upper snowpack has settled to form a 50 to 80 cm slab that sits on three weak layers in the mid-pack which can be found throughout the forecast region, and produced many large avalanches during the Feb 8th cycle. The entire snowpack is faceting after two weeks of cold, dry weather.

Weather Forecast

NW flow to the upper atmosphere brings unsettled cool air to the region through Thursday.

Tues: Cloudy with flurries (up to 5cm of snowfall). Alpine Low -16 C, High -12 C. Ridge wind light West (gusting strong)

Wed: Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Alp Low -15 C, High -12 C. Ridge wind light SW (gusting moderate)

Thurs: Up to 10cm snow

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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