Date issued

Jan 27, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Jan 28, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

deryl kelly

Forecast snow amounts for Sunday are light, and not expected to overload the persistent weakness.

Watch for hidden hazards buried under the new fresh snow!

Regular season
Sunday - January 28, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Monday - January 29, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Tuesday - January 30, 2018
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This problem is made up of 3 significant interfaces in the top 30-50cm of the snowpack but may be seen deeper in wind loaded locations. These slabs have been active to skier testing and explosive control work producing a few very significant results.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Last week's storm snow, combined with southwesterly winds, has built soft slabs in open features. These slabs failed when small sluffs, out of very steep lee terrain, hit the slope.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
  • Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.

Avalanche Summary

Avi control on Parkers Ridge Friday produced 2 large avalanches, size 2 and 2.5 on a N aspect running as the the persistent slab. Slope was hit with 17 explosive charges. The 18th shot, a large crown appeared up to 1.5m thick x 150m long x 300m wide and buried under 2m of debris for 150m. Interesting display of sensitivity and spacial distribution.

Snowpack Summary

The persistent slab is made up of 3 weak interfaces, all in the top 30 to 50cm of the snowpack. Depth and distribution of these weak surface hoar/facet layers varies with the terrain, vegetation, and shelter; although it has consistently been found in sheltered features at TL and above. Windslabs continue to developed in open areas at TL.

Weather Forecast

Sunday: cool temps with cloud and light flurries and 5cm new snow. Monday: temps will remain constant, around -9. Winds will be light SW with moderate to strong gusts. Up to 25cm has been forecast over the day Monday and into Tuesday! 

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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