Date issued

Jan 26, 2018 - 4:16 PM

Valid until

Jan 27, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

Tim Haggarty

Avalanche control work today on Parker Ridge today confirmed that triggering a large slab with a light load is quite possible. With isolated natural activity observed today as well, it is clear that the stakes are starting to rise...

Regular season
Friday - January 26, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Saturday - January 27, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Sunday - January 28, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This problem is made up of 3 significant interfaces in the top 30-50cm of the snowpack and deeper in isolated wind loaded locations. These slabs have been active to skier testing and explosive control work  producing a few very significant results.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.
  • Carefully evaluate terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Last week's storm snow with southwesterly winds has built soft slabs in open features. These were reactive Thursday, failing as small sluffs out of cliff terrain hit the slope.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.

Avalanche Summary

Natural windslab avalanches up to size 1.5 were observed Tuesday in windswept alpine moraine features. These events appeared to be running on the persistent slab interface down 30 to 50cm.

Snowpack Summary

Persistent slabs sit above 3 weak interfaces in the top 30 to 50cm of the snowpack. Depth and distribution of these weak surface hoar/facet layers varies with the terrain and vegetation shelter, but they are consistently found in sheltered features at TL and above. Windslabs have developed in open areas TL.

Weather Forecast

Saturday will see continued cool temps with cloud and the potential for light flurries. On Sunday a SW flow will bring 5-10cm of precipitation with winds increasing to moderate SW and temperatures rising into the -10C range.. Significant snow may arrive Monday as temps peak at -5 C in the alpine.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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