Date issued

Jan 21, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Jan 22, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

Deryl Kelly

Two SH layers stand-out in the upper 30-40cms. The reactivity of these layers is highly variable.

Look for signs of instability like cracking, whumpfing, and natural activity on similar slopes to help make an informed decision to ride or not.

Regular season
Monday - January 22, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - January 23, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - January 24, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Previous wind events with only light snow has buried two SH layers. New surface windslab sits on the Jan 17 FC/SH. This builds on a now buried windslab over the Jan 7 SH for a total slab size of 20 to 40 cm. 

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls at treeline where buried surface hoar may be preserved.
  • Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, or cracking.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

There has been few observations of activity on this layer recently. Suspect this is slower to heal in the alpine.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be wary of large alpine slopes that did not previously avalanche.

Avalanche Summary

Loose and soft slabs up to size 1.5 reported from steep rocky terrain.

Snowpack Summary

Windslab continues to build in open areas which has covered two troubling surface hoar layers in the top 30 to +50cm of the snowpack. The distribution of this SH in the terrain has been found in immediate lees of wind swept features, around TL elevations and into the alpine. It's potentially active with a light trigger like a unsuspecting rider.

Weather Forecast

Light snowfall amounts through to Wednesday perhaps adding another 5-10cm. The winds will continue SW with strong to moderate gusts at RT and will re-distribute any new snow. Alpine temperatures will remain seasonal with alpine highs of -6.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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