Date issued

Jan 16, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Jan 17, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

garth lemke

Gusting winds and 10cm pulse of snow Wednesday night into Thursday has potential to increase the hazard. Monitor these effects accordingly.

Regular season
Wednesday - January 17, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - January 18, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Friday - January 19, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Natural point release avalanches remain a concern particularly in terrain traps or confined gullies. Surface snow remains loosely consolidated and ripe for entraining snow if initiated. New snow next few days will add to this concern.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be very cautious with gully features.
  • Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Snow was redistributed into thin, spotty slabs in exposed areas. These slabs sit on freshly buried, weak facets and surface hoar in some areas. 

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets while approaching and climbing ice routes.
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow.

Avalanche Problem 3: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Isolated slab avalanches to size 2 were reported by field teams on Monday. They were triggered by loose snow avalanches from the cliffs above and solar input.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.
  • Carefully evaluate big terrain features by digging and testing on adjacent, safe slopes.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol on Tuesday and nothing new reported. Yesterday with sun and warm air, a pulse of natural loose dry point releases were observed. They were mostly out of steep, solar facing terrain.

Snowpack Summary

10-15cm of snow from Jan 10 has blown into thin slabs TL and above. Although the mid-pack Dec 15 layer is a concern but has not been reactive in test profiles nor has it been linked to any avalanche activity in the Jasper area, we are monitoring it closely. There is a distinct crust (Nov 17) in the lower third of the snowpack.

Weather Forecast

Wednesday will be cloudy with flurries, 5cm of snow, high of -4, 1600m freezing level, and 20-40km/hr SW winds.  Thursday will be flurries and 10cm of snow, -4 to -10, 20 gusting 60 km/hr SW winds.  Friday will bring clouds, sun, flurries, trace of new snow, -9 to -11 and 15-35 km/hr SW winds.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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