Date issued

Apr 12, 2018 - 8:14 AM

Valid until

Apr 13, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

ross campbell

Conditions will change throughout the day, continually assess hazards as the day progresses.

Regular season
Wednesday - April 11, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Thursday - April 12, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Friday - April 13, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Loose Wet

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Rising FL and rain could destabilize surface layers resulting in loose moist avalanches. A Moderate re-freeze overnight should have formed a crust well into treeline on all aspects and into the Alpine on Solar aspects after yesterday's warm up.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use extra caution on slopes if the snow is moist or wet.

Avalanche Problem 2: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

On Tuesday evening winds reached extreme values from the South forming wind slabs. We also have a persistent layer we're tracking down 70-90cm, which is currently dormant but may wake up with a big enough trigger.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Avalanche Summary

Sometime last night we had a size 3.5 out of Macdonald Gully #11! Possibly cornice triggered, ran full path into the creek. This avalanche is an outlier compared to the avalanche character we observed yesterday or lack thereof, as avalanche activity has generally tapered off over the last few days with more typical spring-like conditions.

Snowpack Summary

A fresh surface crust formed by yesterdays warm temperatures and cool temps overnight exists on all aspects, with 5cm of storm snow at higher elevations. Moist snow may be found below the crust in the top 20cm of the snowpack. Well-settled mid and lower snowpack with the Mar 15 crust complex down 70-90cm on solar aspects.

Weather Forecast

Clouding over this morning, expecting 5cm at higher elevations and rain in the valley bottom. Freezing level will reach 1500m and winds will be light to moderate from the NW. Probably see the skies clear early tomorrow morning, then the next front will pass over Rogers pass, depositing another 20mm of precipitation by Saturday morning.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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