Date issued

Apr 7, 2018 - 7:53 AM

Valid until

Apr 8, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

Ian Gale

Use caution around leeward alpine and treeline features as pockets of windslab may be hidden.

The best quality snow can be found on shaded aspects.

Regular season
Saturday - April 7, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Sunday - April 8, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Monday - April 9, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Recent shifting winds have created wind slabs above treeline. More subtle wind loaded pockets exist in lee features & can easily be triggered by skiers. Watch for these pockets around cornices, wind lips and roll overs. New snow may hide these slabs

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Variable winds have created pockets of wind slab on all aspects.
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

70-90cm of settled snow sits on the mid March crust/facet combo. This layer appears to be bonding well on polar aspects. On solar aspects, this layer fails suddenly in stability tests and has shown potential for wide propagation if triggered.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be aware of the potential for wide propagations which could result in large avalanches.
  • Avoid convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.

Avalanche Summary

Thursday strong solar input contributed to a widespread natural avalanche cycle on south facing slopes. A field team directly observed a large size 2.5 Na from the Frequent Flyer path in the Connaught Creek drainage. Several large solar triggered avalanches were also observed in the highway corridor east of Rogers Pass, up to size 3.0.

Snowpack Summary

A few centimeters sits on top of a sun crust on solar aspects. 15-20cm of low density powder remains on shaded aspects. Wind slabs are above treeline in lee features. 60cm of recent storm snow is settling out and appears to be bonding well on polar aspects. On solar slopes, the storm slab sits on a persistent crust.

Weather Forecast

A pacific frontal system is tracking inland today bringing 10-15cm of snow to the Rogers Pass area later today and overnight.  With freezing levels reaching 1900m this could mean rain at lower elevations. Today expect overcast skies, an Alpine high of -1 deg C and Southerly winds to 20 kph. Unsettled weather is forecast for much of next week.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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