Date issued

Feb 21, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Valid until

Feb 22, 2018 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

mark herbison

Danger ratings have been reduced but it is still possible for large human triggered avalanches. Evaluate the terrain and the snowpack carefully.

Regular season
Wednesday - February 21, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - February 22, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Friday - February 23, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Previous strong northerly winds have formed reverse loaded windslab at and above treeline. Windslab avalanches up to size 2.5 have been triggered by skiers or failing naturally. Avoid exposing yourself to overhead hazard.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
  • Watch for whumpfing, hollow sounds, and shooting cracks.

Avalanche Problem 2: Cornices

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Cornices have been failing steadily over the past week. Cold temperatures and solar input are contributing to these failures with brittle fractures of the snow as temperatures fluctuate.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid travel on slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.
  • Cornices become weak with daytime heating.

Avalanche Problem 3: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Persistent weak layers continue to linger and are most likely triggered in steep, shallow, rocky, unsupported terrain features. Larger triggers such as cornice fall may also wake these deeper weak layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid thin, rocky or unsupported slopes.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed yesterday.

Skier controlled size 2.5 wind slab on Mt. Sifton and several skier controlled size 1.0 loose dry sluffs in the Hermit slide path two days ago.

Several cornice failures earlier this week up to size 2.5.

Snowpack Summary

Cold temps promoting facetting of the upper snowpack. Previous strong NE winds have formed reverse loaded cornices. Windslab can be expected in the alpine and exposed areas well into treeline. On solar aspects, a crust is buried 40cm. Persistent weak layers from January and December are now buried 150-200cm.

Weather Forecast

Another abnormally cold day in Rogers Pass, mainly cloudy skies with periods of sun. No snow in the forecast, temps ranging between -23 to -16 with 10-20km/h southwest winds. Friday will be the day of change in the weather with warming temps and 10-15cm of snow by Sunday.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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