Date issued

Nov 23, 2017 - 8:00 AM

Valid until

Nov 24, 2017 - 8:00 AM

Prepared by

ross campbell

The Winter Permit System is in full effect. There will be Active Avalanche Control today in the Highway Corridor.

Regular season
Thursday - November 23, 2017
Alpine

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Below Treeline

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions.Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely;human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas;or very large avalanches in specific areas.

Friday - November 24, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Saturday - November 25, 2017
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Intense loading of start zones combined with warm temperatures and significant rain or snow fall, has created touchy storm slabs.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Avalanche Problem 2: Persistent Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Rain penetrating the upper snowpack can percolate down to the halloween crust, awakening this layer.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid avalanche terrain during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind, or rain.

Avalanche Problem 3: Loose Wet

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

We have observed many loose wet avalanches over the last 24 hours. This trend will continue until the temperatures cool significantly.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.

Avalanche Summary

A large and destructive avalanche cycle started yesterday. The peak of this cycle will be this morning, with approximately 30-40mm of rain in the start zones over the last 24 hours. We've observed lots of loose wet avalanches in the highway corridor and slab avalanches. This is the largest and most significant cycle we've seen so far this winter.

Snowpack Summary

150cm of new snow fell in the last seven days at tree line, followed by 40mm of rain. This combination has weakened the snowpack significantly. Below tree line the snowpack has become isothermal. At higher elevations storm and wind slabs have developed, and the upper snowpack layers are being saturated by the rain and warm temperatures.

Weather Forecast

Rain and wet flurries today, as the atmospheric river or pineapple slowly departs Rogers Pass. Freezing levels will lower, winds will slowly decrease and precipitation will gradually subside. However currently we have a moderate rain fall, extreme winds and high freezing levels!

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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