Date issued

Mar 4, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Mar 5, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

aaron beardmore

Storm snow distribution is variable throughout the forecast region. Expect up to 35cm in Kootenay and as little as 5cm in the Lake Louise area.

Regular season
Monday - March 5, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Tuesday - March 6, 2018
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - March 7, 2018
Alpine

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Storm Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This problem is isolated to Kootenay and the region surrounding Sunshine where snowfall amounts were up to 35cm. Expect this problem to transition to a wind slab problem as the low density snow is redistributed by increasing wind.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Use caution in alpine and open treeline lees. Recent snowfall has created storm slabs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

This problem will be more pronounced in the parts of the forecast region that received more storm snow. It will be particularly prevalent in steep confined areas.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • The volume of sluffing could knock you over; choose your climb carefully and belay when exposed.
  • On steep slopes, pull over periodically or cut into a new line to manage sluffing.

Avalanche Summary

A recreational party reported triggering (skier controlled) a size 1.5 storm slab today on the East aspect of Vermillion Peak at 2600m. 20cm deep by 60m wide by 200m long. Otherwise some sluffing (loose dry) up to size 1 was observed in the Simpson slide paths.

Snowpack Summary

Variable amounts of low density storm snow (5-35) that arrived in the last 24 hours now sit on top of a firm mid-pack. The higher amounts of storm snow are to the south of the region. The Dec/Jan surface hoar layers are rounding and inactive in tests. The deeper facet layers down 80-150 cm remain weak but are presently difficult to propagate.

Weather Forecast

Gradual warming is expected over the next few days. However, valley temperatures will not exceed zero degrees. The ridge temperatures will also increase but will not exceed -10. Cloud cover and very light precipitation will advance into the region through Wednesday. Wind will increase tonight to the strong range at ridge top from the SW.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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