Date issued

Jan 8, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Valid until

Jan 9, 2018 - 4:00 PM

Prepared by

aaron beardmore

Small amounts of new snow are slowly accumulating adding load to the Dec 15th layer. Forecasters are uncertain as to exactly when the scales will tip in the direction of increased avalanche hazard. Likely, we will see an increase Weds.

Regular season
Tuesday - January 9, 2018
Alpine

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Wednesday - January 10, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Thursday - January 11, 2018
Alpine

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation,cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible;human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

Treeline

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

Below Treeline

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

Avalanche Problem 1: Wind Slabs

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Recent snow is being moved around by the SW winds and forming thin wind slabs in immediate lee areas. These slabs can fail on the either the weak facets or the Dec 15 layer, and have been triggered by climbers and skiers in the last few days.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • Watch for surface cracking and stiffer surface layers of snow. Avoid wind loaded terrain.
  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading has created wind slabs.

Avalanche Problem 2: Loose Dry

What Elevation?
Which Slopes?
Chances of Avalanches?
Expected Size?

Loose dry surface snow avalanches will continue to be a problem in steep rocky areas and gullies until the facets round out and begin to bond better. Additionally, we have small amounts of new low density snow adding to the problem.

Travel and Terrain Advice
  • On steep slopes, pull over periodically or cut into a new line to manage sluffing.
  • The volume of sluffing could knock you over; choose your climb carefully and belay when exposed.

Avalanche Summary

Lake Louise ski area reported that patrollers could ski cut size 1 loose dry avalanches in very steep and confined terrain. Otherwise nothing observed or reported.

Snowpack Summary

30-50cm of snow sits over the Dec 15 layer of surface hoar or sun crust, and is developing soft slab properties with the warmer temps wind and approx 10cm of new snow. Below this the snowpack is heavily faceted with remnants of older crust's still lingering throughout. Concern remains in steep faceted gully's where loose dry avalanches can occur.

Weather Forecast

The forecast calls for up to 20cm of new snow by the end of Wednesday. Temperatures are also expected to drop into the -15 range by Thursday, with cloudy skies throughout. Wind is expected to increase in to the moderate range throughout Tuesday from the SW.

Danger Ratings Explained

1 - Low

Generally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.

Small avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.

2 - Moderate

Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.

Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.

Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.

3 - Considerable

Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.

Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.

Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.

4 - High

Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.

Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.

Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.

5 - Extreme

Avoid all avalanche terrain.

Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.

Large to very large avalanches in many areas.

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